Analysis

Ethereum Price Saw Key Technical Correction, But 100 SMA Is Still Strong

Ethereum price is attempting a recovery wave above the $1,620 level against the US Dollar. ETH could start a fresh decline if it stays below the 100 hourly SMA.

  • Ethereum is struggling to recover above the $1,690 and $1,700 levels.
  • The price is trading below $1,700 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance near $1,670 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair could resume its decline if it stays below the $1,700 level in the near term.

Ethereum Price Faces Hurdles

Ethereum’s price declined heavily below the $1,700 level. ETH tested the $1,520 zone and recently started a decent recovery wave, similar to Bitcoin.

There was a move above the $1,550 and $1,600 levels. The price climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,825 swing high to the $1,518 low. Besides, there was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance near $1,670 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

However, the bears are still active below the $1,680 level. Ether is also trading below $1,700 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $1,690 level. The next resistance is near $1,700 or the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.

Ethereum Price

Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

The 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,825 swing high to the $1,518 low is also near the $1,700 zone. A close above the $1,700 level could start a decent increase in the near term. The next major resistance is near the $1,750 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1,820 resistance, above which the price could rise toward the $1,880 zone.

Fresh Decline in ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $1,700 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,640 level.

The first major support is near the $1,600 zone. If the bulls fail to protect the $1,600 support, there could be more losses. The next major support is near the $1,550 support level. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,520 level in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now near the 50 level.

Major Support Level – $1,600

Major Resistance Level – $1,700

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