Analysis

Bitcoin Price Needs To Clear $31K For Hopes of a Fresh Rally

Bitcoin price is still facing a major hurdle near $31,000. BTC could correct lower below $29,800 if it stays below $31,000 for a long time.

  • Bitcoin is still consolidating below the $31,000 resistance zone.
  • The price is trading below $30,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
  • There is a key declining channel forming with resistance near $30,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could correct lower toward the $29,550 support or even $29,000.

Bitcoin Price Stuck In A Range

Bitcoin price remained in a major range below the $31,000 resistance zone. BTC made another attempt to gain pace above the $31,000 resistance but failed.

A high was formed near $31,008 before there was a fresh decline. There was a move below the $30,500 level but the bulls were active above the $29,800 zone. A low is formed near $29,834 and the price is now trading in a range.

It is trading near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $31,008 swing high to the $29,834 low. Bitcoin price is now trading below $30,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a key declining channel forming with resistance near $30,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Immediate resistance is near the $30,200 level. The first major resistance is near the $30,420 level or the 100 hourly Simple moving average. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $31,008 swing high to the $29,834 low, above which the price might revisit the $31,000 resistance zone.

Bitcoin Price

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

An upside break above the $31,000 resistance might send BTC toward $31,500. Any more gains could open the doors for a move toward the $32,200 resistance zone.

More Losses in BTC?

If Bitcoin’s price fails to clear the $30,420 resistance, it could continue to move down. Immediate support on the downside is near the $30,000 level.

The next major support is near the $29,850 level, below which there could be a drop toward the $29,550 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $29,000 zone in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $30,000, followed by $29,550.

Major Resistance Levels – $30,200, $30,420, and $31,000.

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